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2003 by Mark Carney,
First American Debt Consolidation and Loans
The best way to
ensure that you will be able to enjoy a debt free retirement
is to begin your preparations far in advance. This requires a good
deal of discipline because it means forgoing some immediate
pleasures in order to prepare for an event that is
often decades away. However, the payoff is
well worth the effort. I don't
believe that there has ever been a retiree who has wished that they would have put
less away for retirement. The question then becomes; what
is the best way to save money for the long term?
Many people have resorted to a method of stock market investing,
called market timing. Although there are several variations of this
method, the basic idea is to place money into funds that are about
to hit an upswing and then to remove the money before the market
price dips down. In theory this would allow an individual to hit all
the highs and avoid all the lows. The problem with this investment
style is that on average it is not very effective. People do not
generally remove money from a fund until the performance begins to
slip, and conversely they do not generally transfer moneys into a
fund until the performance begins to rise. As a result, in many
cases people get the opposite effect than they are trying to
achieve. They end up buying high and selling low. It is prudent to
monitor trends and events and occasionally adjust your portfolio
accordingly. However, attempting to continually time the market will
often do more harm than good.
The best way for an individual to ensure that their investments
will provide the maximum amount of debt protection is to make
consistent investments over a long period of time. Here is an
example to illustrate this point. During a 30 year period from 1963
to 1993 the average annual market return was 11.83%. However, if you
removed the top 90 days of trading, the average return plummeted to
3.28% Is it possible to accurately time the market to forecast the
best 90 days out of a 10,950 day span? It is very unlikely that this
would happen.
~~~~~~~~~ About the author:
Mark Carney is a professional consultant with
First American Debt Consolidation and Loans, a debt consolidation
service specializing in financial education,
credit counseling, and debt management services
nationwide. |